Hurricane OPHELIA Public Advisory

000
WTNT31 KNHC 092025
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005

...OPHELIA REGAINS HURRICANE STRENGTH...COULD BECOME A THREAT TO THE
SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST...

INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT 220 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 70 MILES.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.0 N... 78.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/204657.shtml?3day

Carole

You get use to get,have supplies on hand,we know the routine

quote:

---

Originally posted by mustangs68:
This is just our 1st,could be,maybe Hurricane.

You get use to get,have supplies on hand,we know the routine

Sam

---

If you're like us, you keep the stuff to cover windows and such nearby... lol

shortly after we took stuff down from Dennis, we were putting it back up for Katrina.

quote:

---

Originally posted by mustangs68:
Someone gona get wet

---

Yeah, Sam and it looks like us.

Dave & Terri

I'll go out on a limb here and say landfall will be sometime on late Tues early Wed near the Outer Banks,at a CAT 1 level then pick up speed zip over us,moderate rain and winds.

Or lets just hope so
Sam

quote:

---

Originally posted by mustangs68:
If Steve would let go of that high hanging near New England States she may move,but it looks like he's enjoying that nice weather he has.

---

I almost feel guilty about all the nice weather we've had.

As long as this high pressure system keeps dominating the east coast, I find it hard to believe this thing is going to make landfall until Thursday night... if at all.

Thats my story and I'm stickin' to it.
Of course this is all subject to change

Sam

NHC has been saying this thing is going to hit land for the past 5 days... but the high pressure systems coming from our Canadian brethern has kept it pushed off the coast.

There is another big high on its way down that I think will push that warm front coming from the west further north... leaving nice clear, dry weather around here and leaving Ophelia runnning around in circles for the time being.

That High over the Mid-west/Ohio River Vally will breakdown and a trough will/has form,the high over New England will shift to the West some,as soon as that does she'll move,look for that late tonight or early AM.

Current forward speed to Northwest is 3 MPH,look for a change in speed in the next two or three advisories.

She may not get there when I said but she'll get there.The track will be west of the Outer Banks then a turn to the east out over the Atlantic as the trough and New England High shifts.

I still think she'll pick up that 5MPH and become a Hurricane before landfall.

I need to check the lastest projection my brother ran.

------------------
William

68 Coupe
289
Edelbrock 600
Performer Intake
Headers/X-pipe/Flowmaster 30's
C4
8"rear/2:79gears
"Restomod in Progress"

Me and a buddy hare at work track that band for 30 mins on radar

quote:

---

Originally posted by 68 Coop:
Not that I'm bitching, but why don't the West coast see more of these type of weather fronts that turn in Tornado's and Hurricanes??? Anyone got a guess???

---

The other reason hurricanes almost never hit California, Oregon, or Washington is that cyclones feed on warm sea water?preferably over 80 degrees. But the ocean temperature in the northern Pacific is usually under 75.

By the way, the words hurricane and typhoon both refer to the same thing?a severe tropical cyclone. The difference is that hurricane is used for storms in the northeastern Pacific, on the American side of the International Date Line, and typhoon is used on the western?or Asian?side.

Sam
(added)
Thinking back to earlier this year I belive a tropical system did move into SoCal.
Have to research that,not 100% sure.

Dave & Terri

------------------
William

68 Coupe
289
Edelbrock 600
Performer Intake
Headers/X-pipe/Flowmaster 30's
C4
8"rear/2:79gears
"Restomod in Progress"

Isabel cut two very wide openings in the Outer Banks and I expect the same this time.

Wave action is incredible,just pounding the beaches over and over,report of hiway 24 has been washed over in place to the South.
They'er in for a long night and day Thurs.

3 miles an hour forward speed E-NE.

I think we'll be saying Do you remember when there was and Outer Banks